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Beyond SaaS

The Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) market is about to experience its biggest transformation since Salesforce pitched “No Software” in 1999. Traditional SaaS has built a $350 billion market by digitising business processes. But that’s just the prelude. As artificial intelligence moves beyond spreadsheets to tackle the physical world, the AI-enabled software market could eclipse $ 1.2 trillion over the coming decade. This 3x expansion isn’t just about better databases—it’s about teaching machines to handle the magnificent mess of reality.

The Digital Foundation: What Got Us Here

The path to automation has followed a consistent pattern: start with the easiest data to digitize, then gradually tackle more complex information. Banking led this revolution in the 1950s and 60s, with 90% of transactions having become digital by 1995. The gains were astronomical – Bank of America’s early Electronic Recording Method of Accounting processed 33,000 accounts per hour, replacing human clerks who managed just 10 accounts each. This first wave was purely deterministic: fixed rules processing structured data. Bank systems approved transactions based on account balances, airline reservations systems allocated seats using predefined inventory rules, and stock exchanges routed orders through automated matching engines.

Machine Learning (ML) entered much later, with financial institutions applying neural networks to fraud detection by 2010. Today’s systems combine both approaches: deterministic rules handle the base logic, while ML optimizes decisions and spots anomalies. Consider these success stories of modern AI-enhanced automation:

  • Fraud detection: PayPal reduced fraud losses by 40% using ML pattern recognition
  • Digital advertising: A $600 billion global industry where programmatic systems now process 418 billion daily bid requests
  • Financial markets: Algorithmic trading accounts for 60-73% of all U.S. equity trading volume, with high-frequency trading firms processing over 100 million market data messages per second

The formula worked because these domains speak the language computers understand best: clean, structured data with clear rules.

The New Frontier: Making Sense of Mess

But here’s what’s fascinating: the latest generation of AI doesn’t need everything neatly organised in databases. Large Language Models (LLMs) and other generative AI systems excel at a fundamentally different skill—understanding and working with unstructured data.

The implications are profound. When OpenAI tested GPT-4 against human experts in analysing complex legal documents, it achieved 85% accuracy versus the human average of 88%. The key isn’t that it writes well—it’s that it reads and understands messy human-generated content with near-human capability.

This shift matters because most of the world’s valuable data isn’t in neat rows and columns:

Where Bits Meet Atoms: The Real Revolution

But here’s the even bigger opportunity: applying AI to the physical world. This is where things get genuinely exciting—and challenging.

Remember Apple’s highly publicised attempt to fully automate iPhone assembly? They invested $10.5 billion in robotics and automation between 2012 and 2017, only to scale back when robots couldn’t handle the variability of physical assembly with sufficient reliability. Traditional automation works for repetitive tasks in controlled environments but stumbles when facing real-world complexity.

Yet three technological advances are changing this equation:

  1. Ubiquitous Sensing
  2. Federated Learning
    • Enables AI models to learn from distributed data without centralization
    • Tesla’s autonomous driving system improves from 1 billion miles of real-world data
    • Manufacturing efficiency improves 18% through distributed learning systems
  3. Dynamic AI
    • New models handle 60% more edge cases than traditional ML
    • Reinforcement learning enables robots to learn from mistakes
    • Companies like Hirundo are pioneering systems that enable models to dynamically learn and unlearn as paradigms shift and “truths” change, addressing critical challenges in data privacy and model adaptability

The $4 Trillion Opportunity

The convergence of physical-world automation and artificial intelligence is creating unprecedented opportunities across major industries. As traditional automation boundaries dissolve, AI-enabled systems are tackling previously intractable challenges in everything from precision agriculture to autonomous manufacturing. The economic impact is staggering, with transformative potential across key sectors:

The Founder's Opportunity

For technical founders, this shift presents unprecedented opportunities. The winners won't just be building better databases—they'll be creating systems that:

  • Transform unstructured data into actionable intelligence
  • Bridge the digital-physical divide
  • Scale beyond traditional automation limits

Examples already emerging:

  • FreightCore reducing the manual work in freight forwarding by 90%
  • IPercept improving the productivity of manufacturing equipment by +30% through enhanced throughput and uptime
  • OctaiPipe improving the energy efficiency of data centres by 35% through autonomous optimization of cooling

Looking Ahead

The SaaS era as we know it may be over, but AI-powered software is more important than ever. The key difference lies in how we process and act on data: while traditional SaaS excelled at automating structured workflows, next-generation AI systems can handle the complexity and variability of the physical world. They learn continuously from real-world feedback, adapt to new situations, and make decisions with incomplete information—capabilities that are essential for automating physical processes in manufacturing, healthcare, and agriculture.

For investors and founders alike, this represents a fundamental expansion of what software can achieve. The companies that succeed won't just be digitizing existing processes—they'll be creating systems that can understand, interact with, and improve the physical world in ways that were previously impossible.

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